The problem worth investigating
Low-confidence systems either hallucinate or stop. This innovation makes uncertainty productive by converting it into a structured teaching event.
This innovation is treated as a falsifiable engineering hypothesis. The goal is not to prove that an advanced technique is impressive; it is to determine whether it produces a measurable improvement over a simpler control.
Experimental architecture
- 01Confidence gate
Instrumented independently so the experiment can reveal which stage contributes value. - 02Clarification prompt
Instrumented independently so the experiment can reveal which stage contributes value. - 03Correction capture
Instrumented independently so the experiment can reveal which stage contributes value. - 04Normalization and deduplication
Instrumented independently so the experiment can reveal which stage contributes value. - 05Trust/provenance metadata
Instrumented independently so the experiment can reveal which stage contributes value. - 06Human review
Instrumented independently so the experiment can reveal which stage contributes value. - 07Knowledge promotion
Instrumented independently so the experiment can reveal which stage contributes value.
Algorithms under study
Confidence thresholds
Hypothesis. Confidence thresholds is included because it addresses a specific measurable part of the system rather than being added as decoration.
Risk. The component must be compared with a simpler baseline and removed if it adds complexity without measurable value.
Evidence. Task-specific quality metric, latency, reliability and failure-case analysis.
Similarity deduplication
Hypothesis. Similarity deduplication is included because it addresses a specific measurable part of the system rather than being added as decoration.
Risk. The component must be compared with a simpler baseline and removed if it adds complexity without measurable value.
Evidence. Task-specific quality metric, latency, reliability and failure-case analysis.
Correction scoring
Hypothesis. Correction scoring is included because it addresses a specific measurable part of the system rather than being added as decoration.
Risk. The component must be compared with a simpler baseline and removed if it adds complexity without measurable value.
Evidence. Task-specific quality metric, latency, reliability and failure-case analysis.
Trust-weighted retrieval
Hypothesis. Trust-weighted retrieval is included because it addresses a specific measurable part of the system rather than being added as decoration.
Risk. The component must be compared with a simpler baseline and removed if it adds complexity without measurable value.
Evidence. Task-specific quality metric, latency, reliability and failure-case analysis.
What data the experiment needs
- User correction — recorded with enough context to reproduce and audit the result.
- Original question — recorded with enough context to reproduce and audit the result.
- Prior answer — recorded with enough context to reproduce and audit the result.
- Feedback — recorded with enough context to reproduce and audit the result.
- Reviewer approval — recorded with enough context to reproduce and audit the result.
How CortexLab decides whether the idea survives
- Correction acceptance rate
- Repeat-question improvement
- Bad-correction rejection
- Knowledge coverage growth
Results should be compared against a control, segmented for failure cases and repeated across enough observations to avoid promoting noise into product behavior.
What can go wrong
Wrong reward
Optimization can improve the metric while making the actual experience worse.
Overconfidence
Small or biased samples can make experimental gains look more certain than they are.
Distribution shift
A policy that works on past users may degrade as topics, traffic and behavior change.
Next research milestones
- 01Expert reputation
- 02Consensus teaching
- 03Contradiction detector
- 04Knowledge versioning
Questions still open
- Which simpler baseline must this beat before deployment?
- How should uncertainty be calibrated and communicated?
- What evidence would make us reject the idea?
- How do we prevent reward hacking or accidental optimization of engagement alone?
- Which decisions must remain human-reviewed?